Maidenhead United 4-1 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.76
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
24%
2.97
6+
9%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.94
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
11%
5.19
X/2
12%
6.98
X/X
12%
5.01
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde The Market 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.75
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
67 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 62 · 96%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
02.03.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
05.08.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
29.10.2019 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
02.03.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
27.10.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-6 HT 0-2 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
4-1
AWAY AFC Fylde
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
4 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United ran out comfortable winners over AFC Fylde 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Maidenhead United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 42% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 58%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.50 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs AFC Fylde?

Maidenhead United 4-1 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 40%, draw 29%, AFC Fylde 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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