Tamworth 3-0 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No Pick
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.99
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.5
6+
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.62
X/2
8%
7.13
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
15%
5.4
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United The Market 31%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.44/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+61% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Boston United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
23.01.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
15.08.2023 Boston United Boston United 0-2 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İCON
19.11.2022 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United FAK
25.08.2014 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth cruised past Boston United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tamworth had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tamworth and 0.60 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Boston United?

Tamworth 3-0 Boston United in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 45%, draw 26%, Boston United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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