Buxton 1-3 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over Pick
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.15
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.36
6+
9%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports The Market 36%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.03
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
12.03.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-3 HT 1-2 Buxton Buxton İCON
24.10.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
10.12.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
06.08.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
1-3
AWAY Peterborough Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports beat Buxton 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Peterborough Sports found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Buxton had 55% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 45%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Buxton and 1.00 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Peterborough Sports?

Buxton 1-3 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Buxton 37%, draw 24%, Peterborough Sports 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough Sports) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough Sports)
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