Peterborough Sports 1-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.74
Over
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.85
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
24%
4.1
6+
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton The Market 42%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.06
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-3 HT 1-2 Buxton Buxton İCON
24.10.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
10.12.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
06.08.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-0
AWAY Buxton
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports nicked a narrow win over Buxton 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Peterborough Sports found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 49% of the ball to Buxton's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterborough Sports and 2.25 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Buxton?

Peterborough Sports 1-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 35%, draw 28%, Buxton 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Warrington Town vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
17:00 Scunthorpe United vs Chorley Analysis →
17:00 Radcliffe Borough vs Needham Market Analysis →
17:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Aveley Analysis →
17:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Salisbury Analysis →