Chester vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chester 2-0 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chester beat Alfreton Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chester had 61% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 39%, shots finished 11-0.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.33 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Chester vs Alfreton Town?
Chester 2-0 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chester 42%, draw 31%, Alfreton Town 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.