Alfreton Town vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Chester — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alfreton Town 2-2 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town and Chester couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 36% of the ball to Chester's 64%, shots finished 11-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.17 for Chester.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Chester?
Alfreton Town 2-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 36%, draw 31%, Chester 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.