Hereford FC vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hereford FC v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Hereford FC vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hereford FC 1-1 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Hereford FC and Southport couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Hereford FC had 56% of the ball to Southport's 44%, shots finished 12-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hereford FC and 0.67 for Southport.
What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Southport?
Hereford FC 1-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Southport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 45%, draw 29%, Southport 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No went the other way.