Workington vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Workington v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals
Workington vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Workington saw off Matlock Town 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Workington found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Workington and 1.67 for Matlock Town.
What was the final score of Workington vs Matlock Town?
Workington 4-2 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Workington vs Matlock Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Matlock Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Workington 36%, draw 24%, Matlock Town 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.