Bologna vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 3-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna beat Monza 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bologna had 59% of the ball to Monza's 41%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.85 to 0.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bologna and 0.50 for Monza.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Monza?
Bologna 3-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bologna 50%, draw 28%, Monza 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.