Juventus 2-0 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.61
2-3
35%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.19
6+
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
17%
3.93
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
4.94
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 32%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.23/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.68
-9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.7 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Milan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 375
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2025 Juventus Juventus 1-2 HT 1-0 Milan Milan İTSK
23.11.2024 Milan Milan 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.04.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
22.10.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
28.07.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 1-2 Milan Milan HAZ
28.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-0
AWAY Milan
1.08 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
510 Passes 312
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus beat Milan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Juventus made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Juventus had 60% of the ball to Milan's 40%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juventus and 0.83 for Milan.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Milan?

Juventus 2-0 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventus 37%, draw 30%, Milan 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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