Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vitoria Guimaraes v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 50% to 50% in Vitoria Guimaraes's favour, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.35 to 2.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Vitoria Guimaraes against 2.00 for Porto.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Result & Final Score
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 14%, draw 22%, Porto 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.