Norrköping 1-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 25% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.18/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Brage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.08.2010 IK Brage IK Brage 2-3 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ2
26.04.2010 Norrköping Norrköping 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-1
AWAY IK Brage
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping and IK Brage shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Norrköping at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Norrköping had 50% of the ball to IK Brage's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norrköping and 1.00 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs IK Brage?

Norrköping 1-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 49%, draw 24%, IK Brage 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrköping), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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