Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manisa FK v Bandırmaspor — Team-Based Signals
Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Bandırmaspor
T1L
0-1
HT 0-0
Bandırmaspor
T1L
Manisa FK 3-2 Bandırmaspor — Actual Match Statistics
Manisa FK nicked a narrow win over Bandırmaspor 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Manisa FK had 69% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 31%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.90 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manisa FK's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manisa FK and 1.33 for Bandırmaspor.
What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Manisa FK 3-2 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 41%, draw 24%, Bandırmaspor 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.