Bandırmaspor 1-4 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
22%
4.75
X/2
9%
7.58
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
2/2
15%
5.58
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -2%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.45
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.0 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
227 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
05.01.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 0-3 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
07.04.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
12.11.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
12.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
13.11.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-4
AWAY Manisa FK
1.04 xG 1.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
297 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK swept aside Bandırmaspor 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 54% of the ball to Manisa FK's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.04 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Bandırmaspor 1-4 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 47%, draw 24%, Manisa FK 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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