Manisa FK 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

Manisa FK
1-1 HT 0-0
Bandırmaspor
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.44
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
6.69
X/2
15%
5.43
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
23%
3.2
2/X
10%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manisa FK v Bandırmaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.24
-28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.7 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 219
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.01.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 0-3 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
07.04.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
12.11.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
12.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
13.11.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L

Manisa FK 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
292 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK and Bandırmaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 47% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 53%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manisa FK and 1.33 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Manisa FK 1-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 30%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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