Iğdır FK 4-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

Iğdır FK
4-0 HT 4-0
Kocaelispor
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iğdır FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -23%
1.76/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.23
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.4 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.30 xG 0.78
68% Ball Possession 32%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
477 Passes 196
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.01.2025 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-0 HT 2-0 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L

Iğdır FK 4-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
4-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.36 xG 0.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
533 Passes 234
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK swept aside Kocaelispor 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 66% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 34%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor?

Iğdır FK 4-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 52%, draw 22%, Kocaelispor 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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