Esenler Erokspor 0-3 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.29
+49% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
19.3 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.50 xG 3.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
373 Passes 395
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
18.12.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-2 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
0-3
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.04 xG 1.55
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
409 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor swept aside Esenler Erokspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 59% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 41%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.04 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 3.00 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Esenler Erokspor 0-3 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 36%, draw 21%, İstanbulspor 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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