Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.2 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
05.05.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.12.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
13.02.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-3 HT 2-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.09.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
18.07.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 4-1 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.10 xG 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
227 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK got the better of Ümraniyespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 42% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.50 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 42%, draw 28%, Ümraniyespor 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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