Pendikspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.32/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
15.3 Crosses 20.9
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
272 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 HT 0-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
10.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
23.09.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
04.11.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-K
16.12.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
26.02.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.16 xG 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
222 Passes 303
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor beat Fatih Karagümrük 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 43% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pendikspor and 1.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Pendikspor 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 32%, draw 27%, Fatih Karagümrük 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
4 May 2025
00:00 Manisa FK vs Bandırmaspor Analysis →
16:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Sakaryaspor Analysis →
16:00 Boluspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →
16:00 Iğdır FK vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
16:00 Erzurumspor FK vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →
16:00 Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor Analysis →