Esenler Erokspor 5-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
23%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.6
X/X
12%
5.23
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
13%
5.52
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.65/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
-1% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.6 Crosses 17.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
0W-0D-3L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.27 xG 2.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
391 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 0-3 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
05.01.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
18.12.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-2 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
5-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
450 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 7
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor cruised past İstanbulspor 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 55% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 45%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 3.00 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Esenler Erokspor 5-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 51%, draw 23%, İstanbulspor 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ BTTS No
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