Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.72/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.12
-46% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
14.0 Crosses 20.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2026 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
19.09.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-3 HT 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
29.04.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMP
28.02.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
05.10.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
13.08.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
3.56 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
25 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
53 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 47% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 53%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 3.56 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 27%, draw 26%, Al Hilal Riyadh 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SAKK More Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey
18 Mar 2026
22:00 Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Analysis →