Welling United 0-4 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2025

Welling United
0-4 HT 0-2
Maidstone United
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Welling United vs Maidstone United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
1.82
Over
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No Pick
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
36%
3.02
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
18%
3.57
6+
6%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.02 — our 36% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.7pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Maidstone United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 64%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.76/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.45
+91% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +119%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Welling United vs Maidstone United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.01.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
01.04.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
24.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
02.05.2022 Welling United Welling United 3-2 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.12.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-1 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
06.10.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON

Welling United 0-4 Maidstone United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-4
AWAY Maidstone United
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United ran out comfortable winners over Welling United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Welling United had 44% of the ball to Maidstone United's 56%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Welling United and 1.67 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Maidstone United?

Welling United 0-4 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Welling United 20%, draw 25%, Maidstone United 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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