Colchester 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

Colchester
0-0 HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.35
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.67
6+
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.8
X/1
16%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.33
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
6.23
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.36/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.16
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.5 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Colchester vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
257 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
23.09.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
10.04.2023 Colchester Colchester 4-0 HT 3-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
12.11.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
22.10.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
26.01.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.92 xG 0.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
375 Passes 230
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Crewe Alexandra played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Colchester had 62% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 38%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.92 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Crewe Alexandra?

Colchester 0-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colchester 43%, draw 28%, Crewe Alexandra 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colchester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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