Walsall 2-2 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No Pick
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.77
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.87
6+
9%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
22%
3.92
X/2
7%
10.85
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
7%
9.59
2/X
9%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
1.67/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.45
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 65%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.6 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 269
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
24.02.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
11.11.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
18.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
25.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 3-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
19.03.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-2
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.22 xG 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
223 Passes 122
65% Pass Accuracy 56%
31 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Harrogate Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walsall had 61% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 39%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.22 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 1.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Harrogate Town?

Walsall 2-2 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Walsall 52%, draw 28%, Harrogate Town 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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