Harrogate Town 0-2 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 24% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.18
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.98
X/2
9%
5.15
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.19
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 66%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.6 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Walsall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 252
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
18.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
25.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 3-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
19.03.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.11.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
02.04.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
0-2
AWAY Walsall
0.69 xG 1.87
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
471 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall got the better of Harrogate Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Walsall made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 66% of the ball to Walsall's 34%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.83 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Walsall?

Harrogate Town 0-2 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 36%, draw 28%, Walsall 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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