Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Forest Green Rovers
1-0 HT 1-0
Tranmere Rovers
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 34% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.58
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.32
X/2
10%
5.72
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.98
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.54/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
316 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 65%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.5 Crosses 21.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Forest Green Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 Passes 286
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
29.01.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-4 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
25.09.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.05.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.01.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
13.05.2019 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.09 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
218 Passes 406
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Forest Green Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 38% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 62%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.09 to 1.50 — on chances, Tranmere Rovers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.33 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers?

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 37%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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