Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-4
HT 1-3
Accrington Stanley
FAK
2-1
HT 2-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
2-3
HT 1-3
Crawley Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
Accrington Stanley 0-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town squeezed past Accrington Stanley 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Accrington Stanley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Accrington Stanley had 48% of the ball to Crawley Town's 52%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.37 — on chances, Accrington Stanley could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.50 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town?
Accrington Stanley 0-1 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 43%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.