Sutton United 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Sutton United
1-1 HT 1-1
Colchester
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Sutton United vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.61
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
17%
5.65
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
3.82
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Colchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.19/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.38
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 67%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.1 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sutton United vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colchester
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
226 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
22.04.2023 Colchester Colchester 4-1 HT 3-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
10.12.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
18.01.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 1-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
04.01.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İNTK
26.10.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-3 HT 1-2 Sutton United Sutton United İN2

Sutton United 1-1 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-1
AWAY Colchester
2.57 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
122 Passes 216
50% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Colchester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sutton United had 43% of the ball to Colchester's 57%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.57 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sutton United and 1.50 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Colchester?

Sutton United 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 41%, draw 26%, Colchester 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5
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