Swansea City 1-0 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.67
Over
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.68
2-3
36%
1.76
4-5
17%
4.18
6+
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.68 — our 39% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.21
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
10%
6.59
X/X
20%
4.22
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.48/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.98
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.6 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hull City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
494 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
10.02.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
25.11.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
17.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.01.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-0
AWAY Hull City
1.39 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
333 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City edged past Hull City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Swansea City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Swansea City had 52% of the ball to Hull City's 48%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swansea City and 1.17 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Hull City?

Swansea City 1-0 Hull City in the England - Championship on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 38%, draw 32%, Hull City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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