Padova Calcio 2-1 Clodiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.95
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
3.08
No
53%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.37
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
27%
3.27
6+
12%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Padova Calcio win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.1pp
14%
Away Win
5%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
28%
+18.3pp
53%
BTTS No
72%
-18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Clodiense EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.76/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.53
-14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Clodiense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2024 Clodiense Clodiense 1-2 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2-1
AWAY Clodiense
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Clodiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Clodiense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 61% of the ball to Clodiense's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Clodiense?

Padova Calcio 2-1 Clodiense in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Clodiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 64%, draw 22%, Clodiense 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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