Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.56/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.18
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guiseley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Guiseley Guiseley 4-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
01.03.2025 Guiseley Guiseley 1-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
19.11.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-4 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
31.08.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 3-0 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
10.02.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-1
AWAY Guiseley
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United and Guiseley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ashton United had 42% of the ball to Guiseley's 58%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ashton United and 2.17 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 35%, draw 25%, Guiseley 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guiseley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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