Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newcastle United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newcastle United 1-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Newcastle United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 44% lean on Newcastle United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Newcastle United's favour, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.59 to 3.13 — on chances created, Bournemouth won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Newcastle United against 1.83 for Bournemouth.
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Result & Final Score
Newcastle United 1 - 2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 44%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.