Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mamelodi Sundowns v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over ES Tunis 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Mamelodi Sundowns had 60% of the ball to ES Tunis's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.72 to 0.94.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.33 for ES Tunis.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Result & Final Score
Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 0 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 45%, draw 31%, ES Tunis 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.