Baglan Dragons 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.23/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.68
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
20.12.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
01.03.2025 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-0 HT 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
22.11.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 HT 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
02.08.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALLK
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Trethomas Bluebirds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Trethomas Bluebirds at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.25 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Baglan Dragons 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 26%, draw 27%, Trethomas Bluebirds 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ BTTS Yes
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