Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pogon Szczecin v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan edged past Pogon Szczecin 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in Pogon Szczecin's favour, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.61 to 3.74 — on chances created, Lech Poznan won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Pogon Szczecin against 1.33 for Lech Poznan.
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score
Pogon Szczecin 1 - 2 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 32%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.