Paços De Ferreira vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
Paços De Ferreira 4-3 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Paços De Ferreira edged past Chaves 4-3 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18 Apr 2026. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 34% of the ball to Chaves's 66%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 2.25 to 2.24.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.17 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Chaves?
Paços De Ferreira 4-3 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 31%, draw 24%, Chaves 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.