Torreense 1-0 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +17%
1.61/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.28
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 18.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
26.04.2025 Torreense Torreense 2-2 HT 2-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
15.12.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 0-3 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
07.04.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
19.11.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-2 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-0
AWAY Maritimo
1.13 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
234 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense edged past Maritimo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 46% of the ball to Maritimo's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torreense and 1.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Maritimo?

Torreense 1-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torreense 32%, draw 29%, Maritimo 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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