Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v OFK Beograd — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 1-5 OFK Beograd — Actual Match Statistics
OFK Beograd ran out comfortable winners over Novi Pazar 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 53% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 47%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.54 to 2.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.17 for OFK Beograd.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar 1-5 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 43%, draw 26%, OFK Beograd 31%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.