Portland Timbers 1-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.96
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
16%
6.08
X/2
13%
5.6
X/X
14%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.48
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.43/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.20
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.3 Crosses 17.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
358 Passes 374
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
01.09.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
12.05.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
03.09.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
03.06.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
16.04.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.48 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
380 Passes 438
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 18 May 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 47% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 53%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.48 to 0.76.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.00 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

Portland Timbers 1-1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 40%, draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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