Dinamo Tbilisi 5-3 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 18 Jun 2026

📅18/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.67
-8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2026 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
22.10.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.08.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.04.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.03.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
05.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
5-3
AWAY Samgurali
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Dinamo Tbilisi beat Samgurali 5-3 in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18 Jun 2026. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 45% of the ball to Samgurali's 55%, shots finished 19-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Tbilisi 5-3 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 56%, draw 25%, Samgurali 19%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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