Samgurali 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.96/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.06
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.04.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.03.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
05.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.08.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Samgurali had 38% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 62%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samgurali and 1.00 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Samgurali 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 27%, draw 29%, Dinamo Tbilisi 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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