Samgurali 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.99/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.04
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.08.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.04.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.03.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
05.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.08.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Samgurali 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samgurali had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 44%, shots finished 21-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.00 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Samgurali 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 30%, draw 30%, Dinamo Tbilisi 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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