Breidablik 3-1 Tikves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.33
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.59
Over
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.79
2-3
38%
2.04
4-5
27%
2.61
6+
9%
6.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.79 — our 26% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Breidablik win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.9pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tikves The Market 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tikves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
11.07.2024 Tikves Tikves 3-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-1
AWAY Tikves
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Tikves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik got the better of Tikves 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Breidablik had 67% of the ball to Tikves's 33%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Tikves?

Breidablik 3-1 Tikves in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Tikves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 53%, draw 27%, Tikves 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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