KF Tirana 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.79
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.19
6+
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KF Tirana The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi The Market 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KF Tirana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 1-0 KF Tirana KF Tirana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KF Tirana
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KF Tirana vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi edged past KF Tirana 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Torpedo Kutaisi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, KF Tirana had 48% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 52%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of KF Tirana vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

KF Tirana 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KF Tirana vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KF Tirana 36%, draw 23%, Torpedo Kutaisi 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul 2024
18:00 Urartu vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →
18:00 KuPS Kuopio vs UNA Strassen Analysis →
19:00 St Josephs vs Shelbourne Analysis →
19:00 Zalgiris Vilnius vs VPS Analysis →
19:00 Milsami vs Torpedo Zhodino Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs FA Siauliai Analysis →