Tre Penne 1-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.81
Away Pick
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Floriana win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tre Penne The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana The Market 75%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tre Penne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Floriana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2024 Floriana Floriana 3-1 HT 0-0 Tre Penne Tre Penne AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tre Penne
1-1
AWAY Floriana
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tre Penne vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tre Penne and Floriana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Floriana at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tre Penne had 48% of the ball to Floriana's 52%, shots finished 2-16.

What was the final score of Tre Penne vs Floriana?

Tre Penne 1-1 Floriana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tre Penne vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tre Penne 19%, draw 21%, Floriana 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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