Changchun YaTai 1-3 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
31%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.1
1/2
9%
19.5
1/X
6%
18.55
X/1
9%
13.35
X/2
10%
4.15
X/X
9%
7.34
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
33%
1.75
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.5
Value flag · 2/X at 16.5 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 69%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.88/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.68
-37% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +67%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 84%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.2 Crosses 23.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.73 xG 2.74
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
306 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
21.09.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-4 HT 1-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
10.05.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
15.09.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
31.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 4-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-3
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.58 xG 2.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
267 Passes 510
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port saw off Changchun YaTai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 39% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 61%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.58 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Changchun YaTai and 3.33 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port?

Changchun YaTai 1-3 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 24%, draw 25%, Shanghai Port 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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