Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
3.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.67
X/2
12%
6.35
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
4%
24.65
2/2
11%
4.01
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.03/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.73
+59% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.9 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
03.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
02.11.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 HT 0-2 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
15.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
16.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.99 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
304 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Jonoon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wuhan Three Towns at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 50% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.99 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 45%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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