Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.55
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.92
X/2
11%
4.93
X/X
15%
5.27
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
13%
2.84
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.55 — our 25% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+10.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
44%
-13.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 30.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
2.01 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
442 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
16.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
05.05.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
30.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
29.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-3 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.53 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
452 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon beat Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Wuhan Three Towns at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 57% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 43%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.53 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wuhan Three Towns.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 0.20 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 41%, draw 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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