Tianjin Teda 2-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.59
1/2
4%
20.75
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
12%
10.25
X/2
17%
4.42
X/X
6%
6.04
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
36%
2.09
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
57%
Away Win
56%
+1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 60%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.96/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.20
+45% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
10.6 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
309 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
12.07.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
06.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.09.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
08.06.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
08.07.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
2-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.45 xG 1.61
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
254 Passes 488
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Chengdu Qianbao 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 37% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 63%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.45 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.67 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Tianjin Teda 2-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 24%, draw 18%, Chengdu Qianbao 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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