St. Johnstone 3-0 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.11
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
3.08
No
45%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.55
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
15%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
85%
-3.4pp
12%
Draw
9%
+3.0pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
28%
+26.1pp
45%
BTTS No
72%
-26.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 9%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
4.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.06
+47% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +44%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
438 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Greenock Morton
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
20.12.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 5-0 HT 3-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.10.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-4 HT 0-4 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
30.08.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
20.07.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKLK
18.01.2020 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKK
09.07.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone HAZ
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone swept aside Greenock Morton 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

St. Johnstone 3-0 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - League Cup on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 81%, draw 12%, Greenock Morton 7%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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